OkiBum wrote:
I have already paid 2 years worth of premium during which the surrender value is 0. From year 3 - 10 these are the following surrender values.
Y 3 - 3,058
Y 4 - 5,900
Y 5 - 8,884
Y 6 - 12,021
Y 7 - 15,337
Y 8 - 18,740
Y 9 - 22,312
Y 10 - 26,059
If I average it out, approximately 3,257 is being invested every year into any of the funds I choose. (8 years)
If i run these numbers at a 7% growth, at the end of 10 years the funds should be at 33,416 (Year 2027)
Year 2038 or 19 years from now it would be around 75,259.
From this and your earlier post my understanding is you have a limited pay life insurance policy. After paying for the total of 10 years (8 years more at this point) you do not need to make any more payments. As long as you die before age 99, it will pay the face value of $250 K. I don't have your policy details so I am making some assumptions that this functions the way whole life insurance typically is structured:
1, What you gotta love about the policy is the thought that you can die at 98 and your heirs get $250 K even though you stop paying in after just 8 more years. However, that is what also keeps this surrender value from you. If you surrendered at the start of Y 11 you get $26,059 so you can tell yourself you paid just 30,000 - 26,059 = 3,941 for 10 years of insurance, but because that money was paid in $3000 increments each year it's like you've given a large loan and the actual cost counting opportunity cost is much more than and much more than my hypothetical $200/year term policy (I mean don't just compare 2000 to 3941, the opportunity cost is much greater).
2. You are focusing on the surrender value of the policy and how it grows over time. Let's say if keeps growing because you chose great funds and by Y 20 you have the $250 K face value and a $100 K surrender value. If you die, your heirs get $250 K and the insurance company gets $100 K. Your benefit tops out at $250 K (depending on how the policy is written, your benefit may top out at the greater of surrender value or face value, but it's very hard to get that surrender value that high).
3. You could borrow from your policy, tax-free, based on the surrender value. Let's say you borrow $50 K when the surrender value reaches $100 K. The insurance company will charge you interest on that and if you then die the policy would pay $250 K - $50 K = $200 K. My point is that any way that you access that cash value jeopardizes the insurance function of the policy. (This does depend on how the policy was written, but this would be the arrangement I have seen most often.)
4. Some of these limited payment policies will actually have the face value increase over time. Are you sure yours is capped at that $250K?
5. Any decision you make now is based on different circumstances than when you first bought this policy. You just finished the very worst two years ($6000 in payments, no surrender value, and you now know you didn't die
). In your position, if I felt I needed $250 K of life insurance I would find out what a new policy (especially one you can get now that you're here in Japan) would cost before I left my current policy, even this one which I am not a big fan of. The key is the cost for coverage of the catastrophic event (your untimely death) that would jeopardize your family's finances. The second concern is how you maximize retirement savings.
6. I didn't write this before but what's been bugging me since we started this conversation is that I think the discussion on different investment returns kind of falls into the trap the life insurance company has set to make us think of this as an investment. A $250 K policy would leave most people under-insured. When I started working, I looked for a $1 million term policy and was surprized at how cheap they are (I was much younger then); about what one would pay for a nice restaurant meal once a month. It would have been very hard to come up with the $12 K that would be required to duplicate that with this kind of whole life policy. I don't have life insurance now in part because I had the extra cash available to invest during those early years so I could become more-or-less financially independent.
Anyway just some thoughts and I welcome any counterpoints.