Yes, but more towards holding more cash.ToushiTime wrote: ↑Wed Jun 21, 2023 5:21 amThe reason to own a government bond fund is the reduced volatility, putting aside the unresolved question of $/¥ risk. That scenario I gave was mainly to illustrate how mutual (government) bond returns could fluctuate, i.e. upward in that scenario, if central bank rates were cut in response to a crash, which would be an added benefit.An investor typical buys a bond fund (example - ETF: BND as we all seem to be ignoring $/¥ risk) for the dividend. There is capital yield from the buying and selling of bonds, and investor sentiment,but capital yield should never be a reason to own a bond fund.
That's not why someone would by an individual bond either.
Selling during such periods is not a sign of emotional instability either.Being distressed is not a sign of instability, selling during these periods is the unstable action.
Millions of retail investors panic sold on the way down during the GFC. It’s easy to dismiss them all with hindsight.
I agree, given your current situation.My portfolio doesn't need bubble wrap and corner protectors.
Could you ever imagine yourself adjusting the ratio, assuming you retire in Japan? (not a rhetorical question, just curious).
If the yen recovers I may move a million or so to USD treasuries, but I'm in no rush. There is good reason to be skeptical about sovereign debt
A. It's recent apparent correlation with equities
B. The currency risk (broken record, sorry)
C. Examples such as Liz truss and the debt ceiling