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Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Tue Dec 24, 2019 1:26 am
by vapid
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Fri Dec 27, 2019 1:38 am
by vapid
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:32 am
by vapid
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:34 am
by vapid
Not sure how to recommend a YouTube channel, but Tokyo Llama channel started in 2019 and is about his process of buying an Akiya house. The whole video series is really engaging. Here is the main channel link:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCBQ3TE ... JuMl1S_4ig
This is the most interesting from a Finance perspective:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwRjO3kHxU4
He posts mostly on a different forum about rural life in Japan, but I think he might make a good guest poster if you were to contact him.
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Mon Jan 13, 2020 10:12 am
by vapid
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Tue Jan 14, 2020 7:27 am
by captainspoke
@vapid I saw that article, not something the gov't wants to hear tho.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... emium-asia
(might be a paywall, dump your cookies first)
edit:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-end-of ... 1578632400 (definitely a paywall)
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Thu Jan 23, 2020 4:37 am
by captainspoke
This is pretty well known --
sequence of returns, 4% rule.
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Thu Jan 23, 2020 4:49 am
by TokyoWart
Isn’t that Scenario #3 odd? Once your portfolio hits zero it doesn’t become more negative if the market rises faster when figuring the sequence of returns result. The writer seems to have been on autopilot in his thinking. Good point about the very real risk due to sequence of returns.
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Thu Jan 23, 2020 11:15 am
by captainspoke
Yeah, probably an unusual way to add emphasis or something.
The better illustrations I've seen choose a time period with a happy ending, and then reverse the sequence (or simply place the 2-3 worst years first).
I think sequence of returns is something Ben has posted on before (that I've read). Maybe he could point that out.
Re: The Monday Read
Posted: Fri Jan 24, 2020 8:11 am
by captainspoke
This seems to be a pretty balanced snapshot of things right now:
https://www.schwab.com/resource-center/ ... cmp=em-QYB